Reinsurance renewals in the Middle East remains concentrated on ensuring continuity of cover for clients during the evolving geopolitical tensions between Iran and the US, according to Guy Carpenter, a global risk and reinsurance specialist and a Marsh business.
In its report titled “July 2026 Reinsurance Renewal Report”, Guy Carpenter added, “Despite this backdrop, there have been rate reductions between -10 and -15% across the MENA region.”
The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East alone contributed to a slower renewal, but the majority were completed on time, said Guy Carpenter.
Global property reinsurance market
Overall, the competitive pricing environment continued to prevail in the global property reinsurance market at mid-year renewals, supported by abundant capacity and a growing appetite from reinsurers. While specialty reinsurance renewals continued a similar trend, significant loss development from the 2024 Francis Scott Key Bridge collapse in Baltimore is expected to impact 2027 marine renewals.
Mr Dean Klisura, President & CEO, Guy Carpenter, said, “In the current market conditions, cedents have secured competitive pricing and terms on their reinsurance programmes, but many are also exploring alternative options, such as parametric solutions and sidecars, as ways to complement their traditional protection. We expect this trend to continue as we move through the remainder of the year.”
In property lines, attractive terms and coverage options are spurring exploration of supplemental solutions to augment traditional catastrophe programmes. Catastrophe bonds continue reaching record high issuance, with more than $61bn of limit outstanding through the first half of 2026. Parametric solutions are another area of increasing activity, particularly for secondary perils and aggregate solutions. While aggregate insured catastrophe losses remain below average, the frequency of low-severity events such as severe convective storms remains an ever-present risk where parametric solutions can address client needs.
The abundance of capital is keeping the property reinsurance market soft, with risk-adjusted decreases further deepening from 1 January 2026 levels. The global property catastrophe rate on line (ROLs) index decreased from -12% at January to -16% at mid-year.
In casualty lines, mid-year renewals continue to demonstrate nuanced outcomes based on loss experience and evolving market structures, Mr Klisura added. The specialty lines market has been more impacted by volatile geopolitical tensions, which have spurred product development and greater innovation. Across it all, providing value to clients remains paramount.
Venezuela quake and Baltimore bridge collapse
The Venezuela earthquakes that occurred on June 24 have caused widespread devastation and a tragic loss of life. Guy Carpenter estimates the insurance protection gap is likely to be large, with low insurance penetration combined with a severely weakened economy. The residential property insurance branch will also be more heavily impacted than commercial lines.
In the marine market, the total loss reserve for the 2024 Baltimore bridge collapse increased from $1.5bn to $2.8bn. This will largely be borne by the reinsurance and retrocession markets. As the latest reserve increase occurred after 90% of impacted programmes were placed in 2026, pricing implications will not be seen until the 2027 renewal season.